Nassim Nicholas Taleb writes non-fiction about uncertainty, risk and the limits of prediction. Fooled by Randomness examines how luck is often mistaken for skill, especially in finance, while The Black Swan focuses on rare, high-impact events that conventional forecasting tends to miss. Antifragile develops the idea that some systems benefit from volatility rather than merely resisting it, and Skin in the Game argues for personal exposure to the consequences of decisions. Taleb's prose is argumentative, digressive and often combative, mixing probability, finance, philosophy and anecdote. His work fits risk analysis, decision theory and sceptical business or economics writing rather than conventional investment advice. The Black Swan is the clearest entry point for his argument about unpredictable, high-impact events. Read more Less